The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Houston Astros meet Monday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the start here and Yamamoto is 2-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. This will be Yamamoto’s first career start against the Astros. Houston will start Steven Okert here and Okert is 0-0 with a 4.20 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Okert’s first career start against the Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers Recap
The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over the St. Louis Cardinals from Sunday to improve to 21-13 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will head home for a series against the Atlanta Braves.
Dodgers Snap Four-Game Slide
Andy Pages has 39 hits with 8 doubles, 5 home runs and 27 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 27 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 30 hits with 6 doubles, 6 home runs and 13 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 35 hits with 8 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 16 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 3 home runs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 33 hits with 5 doubles, 9 home runs and 13 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 30 hits with 7 doubles, 3 home runs and 16 RBIs this season.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this game looking to add on to their 3-1 win over the Red Sox from Sunday’s matchup to improve to 14-21 this season. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.
Astros Win Back-To-Back Games
Yordan Alvarez has 43 hits with 9 doubles, 12 home runs and 27 RBIs while Christian Walker has 40 hits with 9 doubles, 8 home runs and 26 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 31 hits with 9 doubles, 3 home runs and 8 RBIs and Carlos Correa has 34 hits with 8 doubles, 3 home runs and 16 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 27 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs. Yainer Diaz also has 25 hits with 5 doubles, 2 home runs and 14 RBIs.
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: May 4, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Steven Okert Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 4.20
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Dodgers: 0-0
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against NL West opponents.
- The Astros have won the first inning in four of their last five games as home underdogs.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 2.87
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Astros: –
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Astros have lost each of their last 10 games following an extra innings win.
- The Dodgers have won eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following an extra innings win.
- The road team has covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Dodgers and Astros.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five home night games.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Dodgers’ last nine night games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last nine night games at Daikin Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Dodgers’ last seven games at Daikin Park.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Dodgers.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 15 home games.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.667) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Tucker has hit at least one home run in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Muncy ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.591) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (73).
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.75).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.214).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (235).
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Prediction
I’m on the Dodgers here. I get the case to be made for the Astros after finally getting some confidence going with the series win over the Red Sox, but nothing will halt that faster than a potential bullpen game against one of the most potent and dangerous lineups in all of baseball with their stopper going on the other side. The Dodgers just have far too much firepower across the board for Houston as a whole to deal with and there’s only so much that Yordan Alvarez and Christian Walker can do here. Give me the Dodgers.