The Minnesota Twins and the Houston Astros meet Sunday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Twins played the Kansas City Royals in a four-game series this week. Minnesota lost 6-1 on Wednesday but won the other three matchups 6-5, 4-2 and 7-6. The Twins took out the Astros 6-1 on Friday, then in game two Minnesota gave up four runs in the first three innings during a 5-2 loss. Starter Joe Ryan lasted 5.0 innings with five earned on eight hits and two walks.
In the starting pitcher role for the Twins on Sunday it’ll be Simeon Woods Richardson. This year Richardson is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 40 Ks in 40.0 innings over eight starts. Richardson is 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA in 10 career games (nine starts).
Houston Astros Betting Preview
Over on the Astros’ side, they played the Seattle Mariners in their last series. Houston lost 3-2, 4-2 and 2-1 in the first three installments of that set, but staved off the sweep with a 4-0 Thursday win. On Saturday the Astros gave up just four hits in the victory. Starting pitcher Framber Valdez put up 7.0 innings with one earned on two hits and two walks.
It’ll be Hunter Brown in the starting pitcher role for the Astros on Sunday. This year Brown is 1-5 with a 6.39 ERA in 11 games (10 starts). He’s got 53 Ks in 49.1 innings. Brown is 14-18 with a 4.99 ERA in 49 games (41 starts).
Twins vs Astros Injury Notes
Twins RP Justin Topa (left patellar tendinitis) was transferred from the 15-day Injured List to the 60-day Injured List this week.
Astros SP Luis Garcia (elbow) threw 20 pitches in a simulated inning on Friday.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last six games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three day games between the Twins and Astros.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jose Altuve has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Sunday day appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Kyle Tucker has hit at least one home run in four of the Astros’ last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Altuve has recorded a hit in each of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Astros’ last 10 day games.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded a Double in three of the Astros’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one total base in each of the Astros’ last 12 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Carlos Santana has hit a home run in four of the Twins’ last five road games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in nine of his last 10 road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in six of the Twins’ last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
I’ll take a stab on the Astros but I’m probably not touching this one. Brown has been pitching pretty well over his last pair. In those two outings he’s given up three earned in 12.0 combined innings. As for Richardson, he’s done pretty well himself with just three earned over his last 15.0 innings total.
On Saturday the Astros had a pretty great game on both sides, getting to work early over the first few innings. Houston only used two arms out of the bullpen as well. They’ll be rested and ready for Sunday’s finale, and I like the Astros to keep it going.