The New York Mets and the Houston Astros meet in MLB interleague action from Minute Maid Park on Tuesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Houston is listed as a -130 home favorite while the Mets are +110 road underdogs. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Justin Verlander will start for the Mets and is 2-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 39 strikeouts this season. Framber Valdez will start for the Astros and is 6-5 with a 2.27 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
New York’s 11-1 win over the Astros on Monday snapped Houston’s seven-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
New York is 5-0 in their last 5 games against the AL West and 2-7 in their last 9 road games while the over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games against a team with a left-handed starter. Houston is 13-5 in their last 18 games against a team with a losing record and 9-4 in their last 13 games against the NL East while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 game two matchups.
Pick
I’m on the Astros here. I get why the Mets would be a tempting look with Verlander pitching, but JV hasn’t been the same ace-level pitcher we’ve become used to seeing, especially on the road albeit in a small sample size this season. Framber Valdez has pitched his best at home, it was just a matter of getting run support and now that he’s been getting it, it makes it extremely hard to go against him. I’ll side with the Astros here.