The New York Yankees and the Houston Astros meet Saturday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Yankees vs Astros prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
- The Yankees recent form and player performance
- The Astros recent form and player performance
- Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees
- Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros
- Recent betting trends in games played between the Yankees and Astros
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Yankees vs Astros game
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The Yankees were able to eke out a 5-4 win in the Thursday opener of this set. New York got RBI from five different players, including Oswaldo Cabrera’s solo homer and two runs. On Friday the Yankees didn’t score until the seventh inning but still powered out a 7-1 win. Starter Carlos Rodon went 4.1 innings with one earned on five hits and three walks.
In the starting pitcher role for the Saturday matchup it’ll be Marcus Stroman for New York. Last year in 27 games (25 starts), Stroman posted a 10-9 record with a 3.95 ERA alongside 119 Ks in 136.2 innings. In his career Stroman is 77-76 with a 3.65 ERA in 231 games (223 starts).
Houston Astros Betting Preview
Over on the Astros’ side, they were cruising Thursday until the fifth. Houston had a 4-0 lead early but couldn’t score after the second inning. In the Friday matchup the Astros gave up four runs in the eighth inning alone. Cristian Javier had a nice start with 6.0 clean frames, four hits and one walk.
It’ll be Hunter Brown as starter for the Saturday game. Last season Brown went 11-13 with a 5.09 ERA over 31 games (29 starts). In 155.2 innings total, Brown bagged 178 strikeouts. He’s got a 13-13 career record in 38 games (31 starts) with a 4.60 ERA overall.
Houston Astros Team Facts
- The underdogs have won each of the Astros’ last 12 games.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Astros’ last 12 games.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 13 games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Yankees.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 13 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
New York Yankees Team Facts
- The Yankees have won each of their last six games as underdogs against the Astros.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Astros following a road win.
- The Yankees have led after 7 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have lost the first inning in each of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Yankees vs Astros Prediction
I’ll probably lean toward the Yankees here. I like this one to be close, though. We’ll have an interesting pitching matchup, so the early momentum is going to hinge on what Stroman can do on the mound. In Friday’s game New York ended up with 11 team hits. Oswaldo Cabrera managed four of those, along with three RBI. Juan Soto (three hits; RBI) had a great game as well. Houston couldn’t hold back the Yankees offense, as three of the four bullpen pitchers gave up at least two earned runs. This one likely won’t be as dramatic, and I think New York has a decent shot at another win.