The Toronto Blue Jays and the Houston Astros meet Tuesday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Astros prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
- The Toronto Blue Jays recent form and player performance
- The Houston Astros recent form and player performance
- Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Blue Jays
- Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros
- Recent betting trends in games played between the Blue Jays and Astros
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Blue Jays vs Astros game
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Jays played the Rays over the weekend and split a four-game series. The wins were 8-2 and 9-2; the losses were 8-2 and 5-1. On Monday versus the Astros, Toronto was pummeled in a 10-0 defeat. Two walks were all the Blue Jays could muster on offense, and starter Bowden Francis gave up seven earned on 10 hits in 5.1 frames.
In their starting pitcher slot for Tuesday’s game two, the Blue Jays will go with Jose Berrios. Over his 32 starts last year Berrios went 11-12 with a 3.65 ERA. Berrios has one start under his belt this year: a win with 6.0 innings, six hits, two earned, one walk and six strikeouts.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
Over on the Houston side, they didn’t have any luck against the Yankees over the weekend. The Astros lost four straight 5-4, 7-1, 5-3 and 4-3. On Monday Houston got a stellar no-hitter from starter Ronel Blanco. He threw 105 pitches and managed seven Ks with just the two walks.
It’ll be Framber Valdez in the starting pitcher role for the Astros on Tuesday. In 2023 Valdez went 12-11 with a 3.45 ERA in 31 starts. In his first start of the new season, Valdez took a no-decision with 4.2 innings, three earned, five hits, six walks and five strikeouts. The Astros will play against the Rangers and Royals after this series.
Houston Astros Team Facts
- The underdogs have won 14 of the Astros’ last 15 games.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games at Minute Maid Park following a win.
- The Astros have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six games at Minute Maid Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five Tuesday games against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Astros following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road night games.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction
I’ll lean toward Houston. This should be a pretty fun starter matchup, all things considered. Valdez was shaky in his opening appearance versus the Yankees though (six walks; three earned), so he’ll need a good bounce-back effort in outing number two. On Monday the Astros got a much-needed shot in the arm thanks to Blanco’s no-hitter and a great outing from the offense. Kyle Tucker, Yainer Diaz and Jeremy Pen each hit early home runs to put the team up for good, and Houston would finish with five homers total. I like the Astros to ride this wave into game two and post another big effort. Toronto likely won’t go quietly this time, though.