In this article we will formulate a Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 24th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Royals are Reeling
The Kansas City Royals are 42-37 this year and they have lost six of their last seven games. Kansas City is coming off of a series loss against Texas, where they lost all three games by scores of 6-2, 6-0, and 4-0. Prior to that series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Athletics, lost two out of three against the Dodgers, and lost three out of four against the Yankees. Kansas City is 3-11 in their last 14 games and they are third in the AL Central standings.
The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 362 runs with a .244 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .311 with 12 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City has scored two runs or fewer in five of their last seven games.
Marlins Trying to Keep Momentum
The Miami Marlins are 27-50 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Miami is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Cardinals, lost all three against the Nationals, and lost two out of three against the Mets. Miami is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL East standings.
The Miami pitching staff has a 4.62 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 273 runs with a .232 batting average and a .282 on base percentage. Josh Bell is batting .246 with eight home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami has scored four runs or more in four of their last six games, but they are still 29th in runs scored this year.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Cole Ragans, who is 4-5 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 92.0 innings pitched this year. Ragans has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Roddery Munoz, who is 1-2 with a 5.76 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 29.2 innings pitched this season. Munoz has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four outings.
Why the Kansas City Royals will beat the Miami Marlins
- The Royals have won each of their last 15 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 15 Monday road games.
- The Royals have covered the run line each of their last 10 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 Monday night road games.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Royals’ last six games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Marlins’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last six night games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Hunter Renfroe has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Royals as home favorites.
- Hunter Renfroe has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances with the Royals as favorites.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last five home games against NL opponents.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in four of the Royals’ last five home games against NL opponents.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in 11 of the Royals’ last 12 home games.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 18 home games.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last eight home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games against the Royals.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
- Bryan De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins’ last five road games against AL opponents.
Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Kansas City limps into this series after struggling over the last few weeks, but they are 25-14 at home and are trying to turn it around here. The Royals are starting Cole Ragans, who has been outstanding so far this season. Miami is 23 games below .500 and they are just 11-23 on the road. The Marlins have been horrible at scoring runs consistently and their pitching staff has had issues. Miami is going with Munoz, who has been roughed up in three of his last four starts. I don’t love the struggles that I am seeing with KC right now, but I can’t back the Marlins on the road. My Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins prediction is for the Royals to win by at least two runs.