The Milwaukee Brewers and Kansas City Royals meet Monday in MLB game 1 action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-13 on the season and just played the Rays and Cubs. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 44 hits and 27 RBI while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 65 hits and 34 RBI.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 20-15 on the season and just played the Blue Jays and Rangers. The Kansas City Royals have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Kansas City Royals have split their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 44 hits and 19 RBI, while Salvador Perez and Maikel Garcia have combined for 72 hits and 50 RBI.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup
Bryse Wilson gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Wilson has allowed 15 hits and 6 runs in his last 23.2 innings. Wilson has a 4.50 ERA and .216 allowed abutting average in 10 road innings. This will be Wilson’s first career game against the Kansas City Royals.
Cole Ragans gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 2-2 with a 3.44 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Ragans has allowed 32 hits and 12 runs in his last 30.2 innings. Ragans has a 6.62 ERA and .342 allowed batting average in 17.2 home innings. This will be Ragans’ first career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cole Ragans Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 3.44
- The Royals have won five of their last six night games at Kauffman Stadium following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Monday games against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games following a loss.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryse Wilson Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 3.00
- The Royals have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites following an extra innings loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 20 of their last 22 games as road underdogs.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Royals’ last eight games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last seven games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Kansas City Royals continue to be one of the biggest surprises in baseball, and them being at home doesn’t hurt in this matchup. However, the Brewers have more than held their own up to this point as well, and they have the pitching matchup here. Bryse Wilson has been respectable with a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Cole Ragans has given up hits left and right this season, and he’s been at his worst at home, where he’s allowing a .342 batting average in 17.2 innings. The value is with the Brewers and the plus money. I’ll take the road dog in this Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.