The Toronto Blue Jays and the Kansas City Royals meet Saturday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Max Scherzer for the start and Scherzer is 2-7 with a 6.16 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Seth Lugo will start for Kansas City and is 6-8 with a 5.03 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Recap
The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to add on to their 9-2 win over the Royals last time out to sit at 71-71 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series against the Athletics.
Blue Jays Win 7 Of Last 9
Entering Friday, Andres Gimenez has 100 hits with 20 doubles, a triple, 8 home runs and 52 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 143 hits with 29 doubles, 9 home runs and 44 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 112 hits with 21 doubles, 28 home runs, 78 RBIs and a team-high 165 strikeouts while George Springer also has 20 doubles, 14 homers and 46 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 123 hits with 22 doubles, 8 home runs and 54 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 69 hits with 18 doubles, 8 home runs and 35 RBIs.
Kansas City Royals Recap
The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Blue Jays on Friday to sit at 63-79 this season. After this series, the Royals will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in a series at home.
Royals Drop 4 Of Last 5
Going into Friday, Jac Caglianone has 133 hits with 27 doubles, 23 home runs, 69 RBIs and 2 triples while Bobby Witt Jr. has 135 hits with 28 doubles, 16 home runs and 50 RBIs and Vinnie Pasquantino’s added 84 hits with 16 doubles, 2 triples, 9 home runs and 42 RBIs on the year. Maikel Garcia also has 76 hits with 18 doubles, 3 home runs and 32 RBIs this season. Carter Jensen’s also chipped in 106 hits with 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 67 RBIs this season.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals Betting Trends: September 5, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Seth Lugo Record this season: 6-8 ERA: 5.03
- Home Record: 4-4
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 3-0
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Royals have won each of their last six games against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last 10 road games against AL opponents following a win.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against the Royals following a win.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday games as favorites.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against AL opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer Record this season: 2-7 ERA: 6.16
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Royals: 3-2
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Royals have lost each of their last 11 home games against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Royals following a road win.
- The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Royals’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Royals’ last 11 Saturday games against AL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit a home run in four of the Royals’ last five games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Seth Lugo has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Saturday appearances.
- Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
- Seth Lugo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Blue Jays.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (38) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- George Springer has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Scherzer has recorded four or more strikeouts in 45 of his last 47 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kazuma Okamoto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Royals rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (257).
- The Royals rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.74).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (8).
- The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (1025).
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction
I’m on the Blue Jays in this one. I get the case to be made for KC as Scherzer still has an ERA up over six, but Scherzer looked like vintage Scherzer last time out and I think that he can carry that forward here. Toronto’s been playing some really solid ball as of late as this team looks serious about making a playoff run and I think the Jays get another one here. Give me Toronto.