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LA Angels vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 5-15-24 Picks

St. Louis Cardinals (18-24) vs. LA Angels (15-28)
May 15, 2024 9:07 pm EDT
The Line: LA Angels +105 / St. Louis Cardinals -125; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a LA Angels vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 15th at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Angels Continue to Struggle

The LA Angels are 15-28 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Los Angeles has lost the first two games in this series and has allowed 17 runs in the process. Prior to this series, the Angels lost three out of four against Kansas City, won two out of three against Pittsburgh, and lost two out of three against Cleveland. Los Angeles has lost 14 of their last 19 games and they are last in the AL West behind the Mariners, Rangers, Athletics, and Astros. 

The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.84 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Angels offense has scored 181 runs with a .242 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Taylor Ward is batting .265 with seven home runs and 25 RBI’s for the Angels this season. Los Angeles is 28th in team ERA and 16th in runs scored this season, as they have allowed at least four runs in eight of their last eleven games. 

Cardinals are Gaining Momentum

The St. Louis Cardinals are 18-24 this year and they have won three games in a row. St. Louis has won the first two games in this series by scores of 10-5 and 7-6. Prior to this series, the Cardinals lost three out of four against Milwaukee, lost both games against the Mets, and lost two out of three against the White Sox. St. Louis has lost nine of their last 13 games and they are fourth in the NL Central behind the Brewers, Cubs, and Pirates. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 153 runs with a .224 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Nolan Gorman is batting .191 with five home runs and 15 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis has been one of the lowest scoring teams in the MLB this season, but they have scored 21 runs in their last three games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Griffin Canning, who is 1-4 with a 5.75 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 40.2 innings pitched this season. Canning has some poor numbers on the season, but he has allowed just two earned runs and seven hits over his last two starts (11.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Lance Lynn, who is 1-1 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 40.1 innings pitched this season. Lynn has allowed four earned runs in each of his last two starts against Milwaukee and the White Sox. 

Why the Los Angeles Angels will win

  • The Angels have won each of their last eight Wednesday games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Cardinals have lost five of their last seven games as favorites.
  • The Angels have covered the run line each of their last eight Wednesday games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The Angels have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Griffin Canning has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Zach Neto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Zach Neto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Rendon has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against the Cardinals.
  • Brandon Drury has scored at least one run in each of his last seven Wednesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Mike Trout has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Mike Trout has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Rendon has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Alec Burleson has hit a home run in two of the Cardinals’ last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Matt Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against the Angels.
  • Lance Lynn has recorded six or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 20 road appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances with the Cardinals as favorites.
  • Lance Lynn has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Cardinals as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded a Single in each of his last eight Wednesday appearances.
  • Willson Contreras has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Willson Contreras has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Los Angeles Angels rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.84).
  • The Los Angeles Angels rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (224).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (31).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (153).

LA Angels vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 

St. Louis has some horrendous season stats, but they have won three in a row and are trying to get back into the NL Central race. The Cardinals play better on the road than they do at home, while LA is just 5-16 at home this year. St. Louis is starting Lance Lynn, who has a decent ERA this season, but I don’t trust him. Los Angeles is going with Griffin Canning, who has looked better in his last two outings. I don’t like either offense in this matchup, but I think the Cardinals are due for some regression. My LA Angels vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction is for the Angels to get the win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Angels ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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