In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 29th at the Sutter Health Park in the second game of this series, with the Mariners having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Athletics Preview
The Athletics have a 46-63 record this season and are sitting in last place in the AL West. The Athletics have a 20-32 home record and are 57-47 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-3 home defeat by the Mariners, which snapped their previous four-game winning streak. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games, and they are playing the Diamondbacks and the Nationals next.
The Athletics have a .250 batting average this season, .316 OBP, and .424 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 5.07 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. Jacob Wilson leads the Athletics with 115 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .312 batting average. Tyler Soderstrom leads the team with 60 RBI, while Nick Kurtlz adds a team-high 23 home runs.
Luis Severino (R) is the projected starter for the Athletics, and he has a 4-11 record, 4.95 ERA, and 1.35 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 57-50 record this season and are sitting in second place in the AL West. The Mariners have a 29-26 road record and are 58-44 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-1 road victory over the Athletics, and are 4-5 in their last 9 games. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 games, and they are playing the White Sox and the Rangers next.
The Mariners have a .246 batting average this season, .321 OBP, and .411 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 111, while JP Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .268 batting average. Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 87 and in home runs with 41.
Logan Evans (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 4-3 record, 3.64 ERA, and 1.40 WHIP.
Why the Athletics will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against AL West opponents following a road win.
- The Athletics have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight road games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in six of the last seven games between the Mariners and Athletics.
- The Athletics have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL West opponents.
- The Athletics have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Athletics have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Athletics have lost each of their last eight Tuesday games against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have won eight of their last nine road games against the Athletics following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Athletics’ last six games.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against the Mariners following a home loss.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against the Athletics.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Athletics’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Mariners’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last six home games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games as favorites.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (158).
- The Athletics rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.07).
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (147).
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for triples this season (5).
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction
The Mariners are 8-3 in their last 11 overall meetings against the Athletics, and are 5-3 in their 8 meetings this season. They are 3-1 in their last four road meetings against the A’s, and under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Mariners vs Athletics Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -115 road favorites. Seattle is rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, and are facing an A’s squad that has been terrible at home. Severino has been bad for the A’s this season, and he has been even worse at home, with a 6.68 home ERA. The A’s also have the second-worst bullpen in the league, while the Mariners have a better offense, so for an almost pick ’em price, I like the Seattle Mariners to get the job done on the road in this one.