In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 14th at the Oriole Park at Camden Yards in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 54-66 record this season and are sitting in the last place of the AL East. The Orioles have a 29-30 home record and 51-64 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 home victory over the Mariners, which ended their previous three-game losing streak. Under is 6-1 in their last 7 games, and are playing the Astros and the Red Sox next.
The Orioles have a .240 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .404 slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.80 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 120 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 50, while Ramon Laureano adds a team-high 15 home runs.
Tomoyuki Sugano (R) will is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 9-5 record, 4.24 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 67-54 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 30-29 road record and are 64-51 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-4 road defeat by the Orioles, which ended their 8-game winning streak. Over is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and they are playing the Phillies and the Mets next.
The Mariners have a .243 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .409 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 128, while JP Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .266 batting average. Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 98, and in home runs with 45.
Logan Evans (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 6-4 record, 4.36 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Mariners.
- The Mariners have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Orioles following a loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against American League opponents.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won eight of their last nine games.
- The Orioles have lost three of their last four games.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 Thursday day road games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Thursday day games as favorites.
- The Mariners have won the first inning in three of their last four games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine day games between the Mariners and Orioles.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mariners’ last seven day games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for walks this season (324).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.265).
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (156).
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for triples this season (7).
Mariners vs Orioles Prediction
The Orioles are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Mariners, and are 4-1 in their 5 meetings this season. Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Mariners vs Orioles Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -130 road favorites. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup, as they have both been mediocre this season, with 4.20+ ERA each. Evans for the Mariners has been weaker at home and last 3+ earned runs in each of his last three starts. On the flip side, Sugano has been playing much better lately, having just one earned run in two of his last three starts. The Orioles are also better against right-handed pitching, so I will take a stab with the home dog in this one, and take the Orioles at plus money.