In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 6, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates (38-52, 12-31 Away) swept the New York Mets and St. Louis Cardinals, and were on a six-game winning streak, but that positive streak ended with a couple of losses to the Mariners. Pittsburgh failed to score in those defeats. In last night’s 1-0 defeat, Mike Burrows pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on three hits with six strikeouts and four walks. Caleb Ferguson took the loss.
This year, the Pirates average 3.48 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .234/.306/.345 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Pirates’ staff has a 3.66 ERA (8th) and 1.19 WHIP (4th). Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with a .232 batting average, ten home runs, and 45 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Pirates is Paul Skenes, who is 4-7 in 18 seven this season, with a 2.03 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 111.0 innings.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners (47-42, 24-21 Home) are without a loss in the previous four series and added one more series win after beating the Pirates in the first two games. Before it, they defeated the Cubs, split with the Twins, beat the Rangers, and split with the Royals. Seattle secured a minimal 1-0 victory on Saturday. Ben Williamson drove in the game-winning run, while Luis Castillo got the win after allowing no runs on two hits with eight strikeouts and no walks across 7.0 innings of work.
This season, the Mariners average 4.55 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .248/.323/.408 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.85 ERA (15th) and 1.26 WHIP (15th). Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with a .270 batting average, 35 home runs, and 74 RBI this season.
George Kirby will take the mound for the Mariners on Sunday. The 27-year-old right-hander has a 2-4 record in eight starts this year with a 4.85 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 42.2 innings.
Why the Mariners will beat the Pirates
- The home team has won 11 of the Pirates’ last 12 games.
- The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight day games following a road loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against the Pirates.
- The Pirates have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record at T-Mobile Park.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Pirates at T-Mobile Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mariners’ last eight day games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight day games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last three day games at T-Mobile Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 5th in the league for steals this season (81).
- The Mariners rank T6th in the league for home runs this season (118).
- The Pirates rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (61).
- The Pirates rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (118).
Mariners vs Pirates Prediction
The Mariners won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last three. I am backing Seattle to win again and complete a series sweep, even though Paul Skenes starts for the Pirates. Skenes’ biggest problem is his inefficient offense, so even if he secures another quality start, I doubt the Pirates will outscore the M’s. George Kirby, on the other hand, recorded back-to-back quality starts and allowed just two runs in 12.0 innings, so I am backing him to display another strong outing here. Go with the Mariners.