In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, October 10th at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB Divisional Series matchup.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are tied 2-2 in this series after they lost game four by a score of 9-3 on Wednesday. Seattle led 3-0 in the fifth inning, but the wheels came off and the bullpen couldn’t get anyone out, resulting in the lopsided loss. The Mariners recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Raleigh and Canzone, who both had one RBI in the loss. Seattle started Miller, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Speier picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Mariners had a bye in the Wild Card round, but did lose all three against the Dodgers to end the regular season. Seattle has lost five of their last seven games and they finished first in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff had a 3.87 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense scored 766 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh led Seattle with 60 home runs and 125 RBIs, while Julio Rodriguez added 32 home runs and 95 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this series.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers tied the series at two games a piece with a 9-3 win on Wednesday in game four. Detroit couldn’t get anything going at the plate in the first four innings, but they scored three in the fifth and four in the sixth to pull away for the blowout win. The Tigers recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Baez, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Detroit started Mize, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 3.0 innings, while Melton pitched three innings and picked up the win.
Prior to this series, the Tigers defeated the Guardians in three games in the Wild Card round, but did lose two out of three against Cleveland and Boston to end the regular season. Detroit has won four of their seven games in the playoffs and they finished second in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.14 ERA with a 1.06 WHIP and a .203 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 27 runs with a .218 batting average and a .302 on base percentage in the postseason. Javier Baez has led Detroit with one home run and five RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added zero home runs and six RBIs in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 1-0 with a 1.84 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this postseason.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last seven games as road favorites following a home win.
- The Mariners have lost four of their last five home games.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 night games against the Tigers at T-Mobile Park following a loss.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games at T-Mobile Park following a win.
- The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against the Mariners at T-Mobile Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last seven road playoff games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the last four games between the Tigers and Mariners at T-Mobile Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight games as home underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Tigers’ last nine night games against American League opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Jorge Polanco has hit at least one home run in four of the Mariners’ last five games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded a Double in each of the Mariners’ last four playoff games as underdogs.
- J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (60) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded a Double in four of the Tigers’ last five games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous Friday night appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Jake Rogers has hit a home run in four of his five previous appearances with the Tigers as favorites against the Mariners.
- Tarik Skubal ranks 2nd in the league for total Strikeouts (241) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (234).
- The Mariners rank T29th in the league for triples this season (9).
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (61).
- The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (36).
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction
Detroit looked like they were going to lose both games at home to lose this series, but they woke up in the fifth inning of game four to steal the win. The Tigers found offense out of nowhere and now have all of the momentum coming into this game. Detroit is starting Skubal, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts. Seattle is going with Kirby, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight. This is a great pitching matchup, but I have to side with Detroit here.