In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 2, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers (2-3, 2-3 Away) were swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers in the opening series of the season, but they should get at least one win. They didn’t have luck at Dodgers Stadium, but the Tigers responded with a pair of victories over the Seattle Mariners. Detroit won 9-6 and 4-1, respectively. Casey Mize got a win in the latest tilt after allowing no runs on one hit with six strikeouts and three walks over 5.2 innings of work.
This year, the Tigers average 5.25 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .293/.369/.456 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Tigers’ staff has a 6.55 ERA (28th) and 1.22 WHIP (12th). Dillon Dingler leads the Tigers with a .455 batting average, one home run, and five RBI this season.
Tarik Skubal will take the mound for the Tigers on Wednesday. The 28-year-old lefty had an 18-4 record last season in 31 starts with a 2.39 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 192.0 innings. This season, Skubal started with a loss to the Dodgers as he posted a 7.20 ERA in 5.0 innings.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners (2-4, 2-4 Home) surprisingly split the opening series of the season with the Athletics when many expected them to win, especially considering it was played at home. Seattle then lost the first two games of a three-game series to the Detroit Tigers. Logan Gilbert took a loss in the most recent game after allowing three runs on five hits with 10 Ks and one walk in 5.0 innings.
This season, the Mariners average 2.80 runs per game (25th in the MLB) on a .188/.303/.342 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 4.40 ERA (19th) and 1.35 WHIP (20th). Jorge Polanco leads the Mariners with a .400 batting average, one home run, and four RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Mariners is Luis Castillo, who had an 11-12 record in 30 starts last season with a 3.64 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over 175.1 innings of work. Castillo recorded a loss to the A’s this year as he registered a 3.60 ERA in 5.0 innings.
Why the Tigers will beat the Mariners
- The Tigers have won each of their last six road games against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have lost each of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games at T-Mobile Park.
Why the Mariners will beat the Tigers
- The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Tigers and Mariners.
- The Tigers have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Tigers’ last nine games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Tigers’ last six day games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Mariners’ last six day games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mariners’ last nine day games against AL Central opponents.
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction
The Tigers won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last five. Although I expect both Kubal and Castillo to display stronger performances than they did last time out, I have to back Over 6.5 runs. The Tigers have been solid on offense, unlike the Mariners, and I think the visitors can score three or four runs in the opening five innings. Seattle, who struggled offensively so far, must improve in that segment if it wants to avoid a series sweep. The Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home. Go with Over.