In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 24th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 60-69 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-5 and 6-7. In their game two loss, Miami erased a 4-0 deficit, but ended up losing in the 12th inning. The Marlins recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Sanoja, who went 3-5 with three RBIs in the loss. Miami started Junk, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Faucher picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Red Sox. Miami has lost seven of their last nine games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 557 runs with a .250 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 18 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 5-3 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 64.2 innings pitched this year.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 76-54 this season after they won game two in extra innings by a score of 7-6 on Saturday afternoon. Toronto led 4-0 in the seventh and 4-3 in the ninth, but they needed to outlast Miami in 12 innings to escape with the win. The Blue Jays recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Springer, who went 3-6 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Berrios, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Hoffman blew the save in relief.
Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did win two out of three against the Rangers before that. Toronto has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 637 runs with a .267 batting average and a .337 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 21 home runs and 69 RBIs, while George Springer has added 22 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 8-9 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 147.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Blue Jays
- The Marlins have won each of their last three games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Blue Jays have lost 10 of their last 18 games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home day games.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home day games.
Why the Blue Jays will beat the Marlins
- The road team has won each of the last seven games between the Blue Jays and Marlins.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games after going to extra innings.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Blue Jays’ last six road games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as road favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five day games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- George Springer has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
- Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction
Toronto nearly blew a big lead and lost in game two on Saturday, but they were able to rally in extras for the win. The Blue Jays are 34-33 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 29-35 at home. Miami has allowed at least seven runs in three of their last five games and they are starting Perez, who has allowed 1, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last three outings. The Jays are going with Gausman, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. This is a pretty solid pitching matchup and I think runs will be at a premium, so I like the under here.