In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 25th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 61-69 this year after they lost two out of three against Toronto by scores of 2-5, 6-7, and 5-3. In their game three win, Miami had their lead cut to 4-3 in the seventh inning, but added a run in the bottom half of the inning to secure the victory. The Marlins recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Marsee, who went 2-4 with three RBIs in the win. Miami started Perez, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Phillips picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Red Sox. Miami has lost seven of their last ten games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 562 runs with a .250 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 18 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 6-7 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 117.2 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 59-71 this season after they lost two out of three against the Mets by scores of 7-12, 2-9, and 4-3. In their game three win, Atlanta trailed 2-0 for most of the game, but scored the next four runs to escape with the win. The Braves recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Murphy and Profar, who both had two RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Elder, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Kinley picked up the win and Iglesias got the save.
Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the White Sox and all three against the Guardians. Atlanta has split their last six games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.38 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 570 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 19 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 5-11 with a 5.24 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against the Marlins following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the Braves’ last 11 games.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Marlins’ last nine home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Braves’ last six night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Braves’ last 10 games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs.
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against former teams.
- Spencer Strider has recorded six or more strikeouts in 17 of his last 20 appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Strider has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank T4th in the league for triples this season (24).
- The Marlins rank 25th in the league for home runs this season (127).
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (466).
- The Braves rank 25th in the league for steals this season (65).
Marlins vs Braves Prediction
These two teams come into this contest battling for third in the NL East standings, but Miami currently has a two game lead. The Marlins are 30-35 at home this year, while the Braves are 26-38 on the road. Atlanta has played much better over the last few weeks and they are starting Strider, who has allowed 20 earned runs in his last three starts. The Marlins are going with Cabrera, who has allowed nine earned runs in his last two outings. I know both starters have struggled recently, but I have no faith in Strider right now. Take Miami to win.