In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 27th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 62-70 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-1 and 2-11. In their game two loss, Miami tied the game at two in the seventh inning, but they allowed nine runs in the top of the ninth for the tough loss. The Marlins recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Marsee, who went 3-5 with one RBI in the loss. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Zuber picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Cardinals. Miami has lost three of their last five games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 566 runs with a .250 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 18 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Gusto, who is 7-6 with a 5.05 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 98.0 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 60-72 this season after they won game two in this series by a score of 11-2 on Tuesday night. Atlanta led 1-0 in the first and 2-1 in the fourth, but they didn’t score again until the ninth, when they erupted for the win. The Braves recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Albies, who went 3-5 with two home runs and four RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Waldrep, who allowed eight hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings, while Kinley got the win in relief.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the White Sox before that. Atlanta has lost three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 582 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 19 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Joey Wentz, who is 4-4 with a 5.25 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 72.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Braves
- The Marlins have won each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Braves have lost each of their last six Wednesday day games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home day games.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last five day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last seven Wednesday games at LoanDepot Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Braves and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has recorded a hit in seven of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Michael Harris has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
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Marlins vs Braves Prediction
Both of these teams have won one game so far in this series and they will look for the series win here. Miami is 31-36 at home this year, while Atlanta is 27-39 on the road. Atlanta nearly blew game two on Tuesday, but the Miami bullpen fell apart, which allowed the Braves to get the win. Atlanta is starting Wentz, who has allowed 6, 1, 1, and 5 earned runs in his last four outings. Miami is going with Gusto, who has allowed eight earned runs and 11 hits in 12.0 innings with the Marlins. I don’t trust either of these starters, but I will side with Miami at home, as Atlanta has struggled on the road all season.