In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 19th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 9-12 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 5-7 and 2-5. In game two, Miami led 1-0 in the second inning, but they didn’t score again until the ninth for the loss. The Marlins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Norby and Hernandez, who both had one RBI. Alcantara allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Bender allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Braves and all three against the Tigers.
This season, Miami has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while they have scored 95 runs with a .256 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with four home runs and 18 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and 13 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 20.0 innings pitched this year.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 12-8 this season after they won game two by a score of 5-2 on Saturday afternoon. Milwaukee trailed 1-0, but they scored five runs in the middle innings to pull away with the win. The Brewers recorded six hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Turang, who went 2-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the game. Woodruff allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Woodford allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Blue Jays, but lost all three against the Nationals before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 103 runs with a .235 batting average and a .344 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with five home runs and 13 RBIs, while Garrett Mitchell has added one home run and 16 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jacob Misiorowski, who is 1-1 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 21.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Brewers’ last eight games.
- The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Marlins following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last eight games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last three games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against the Brewers at LoanDepot Park.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last nine road games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine road games against NL East opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four road games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has hit at least one home run in each of the Brewers’ last three day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Marlins vs Brewers Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have allowed 5+ runs in all four of those games. The Marlins are 7-5 at home this year, while the Brewers are 5-3 on the road. Milwaukee has won four in a row and they have allowed two runs or fewer in three of those four wins. The Brewers are starting Misiorowski, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his four starts, while Perez has allowed 3, 2, 4, and 3 earned runs in his four starts. Take Milwaukee to get another win in this contest.