In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 4th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 71-70 this year after they won two out of three against the Royals by scores of 6-3, 9-6, and 3-7. In game three, Miami led 3-2 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the last five runs in the loss. The Marlins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Ramirez, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Alcantara allowed six hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Zuber allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Miami lost three out of four against the Nationals and two out of three against the Red Sox.
This season, Miami has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 615 runs with a .248 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with 10 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 6-8 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 103.0 innings pitched this year.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 79-62 this season after they split four games with the Brewers by scores of 17-3, 4-9, 5-9, and 2-1. In game four, Chicago scored both of their runs in the third inning, which was enough to get the low scoring win. The Cubs recorded three hits and they were led by Crow-Armstrong, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the game. Gausman allowed five hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Rolison picked up the save. Prior to that series, Chicago lost two out of three against the Reds and two out of three against the Diamondbacks.
This season, Chicago has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 753 runs with a .251 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 39 home runs and 93 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Shota Imanaga, who is 8-10 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 150.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Marlins’ last eight games.
- The Cubs have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a home win.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Friday home games.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cubs’ last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Three of the Marlins’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games against NL Central opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Cubs’ last 11 games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- Janson Junk has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his six previous Friday appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
- Heriberto Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Otto Lopez ranks T1st in the league in Hits (166) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Michael Conforto has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last seven games.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (39) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (30).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (146).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (753).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (198).
Marlins vs Cubs Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup after winning three of their last five games and they have scored 6+ runs in all three of those wins. The Marlins are 42-27 at home this year, while the Cubs are 38-31 on the road. Chicago has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 7+ runs in all three of those losses. The Cubs are starting Imanaga, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Junk has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Take the Marlins to win here.