In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, September 14th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 79-71 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL West. They have a 42-33 home record and are coming off a 6-7 home loss against the Rangers. They will face the Yankees and the Rockies next.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a .243 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Gabriel Moreno is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average. Nolan Arenado leads the team in RBI with 73 and adds a team-high 25 home runs.
Corbin Burnes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 0-0 record, 0.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 74-76 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 29-43 away record and are coming off a 6-4 home win against the Dodgers. They will face the Padres and the Cubs next.
The Miami Marlins have a .249 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 69, while Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Sandy Alcantara (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 13-10 record, 3.78 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: September 14, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Corbin Burnes Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 0.00
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Marlins: 2-1
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last 10 Monday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against NL opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara Record this season: 13-10 ERA: 3.78
- Road Record: 7-6
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 0-2
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last 11 games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the Marlins’ last 14 road games against NL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six night games.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games.
- Corbin Burnes has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 29 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Gabriel Moreno is one of only six players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL West opponents.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 Monday appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
- Javier Sanoja has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 night games.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (180) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (36).
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1039).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (33).
- The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (150).
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The Marlins have won their last six meetings against the Diamondbacks, including their last three visits in Arizona.
In this Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -135 home favorites. I like the Dbacks at home in this one, as they will face a struggling Sandy Alcantara, who has been in bad shape, having given up 15 runs across his last three starts and has a 4.32 road ERA. On the flip side, Corbin Burnes did not give up a single run in his season debut and the Dbacks’ bullpen has been in excellent form, with a 1.90 ERA in their last 10 games. The Marlins have been bad on the road, so take the Dbacks to win in this one.