In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 11th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 33-35 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 10-6 and 8-0. In game two, Miami took the lead in the third inning and never looked back in the blowout win. The Marlins recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Stowers, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Gusto allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Kempner picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Miami won two out of three against the Rays and swept the Nationals in three games.
This season, Miami has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 294 runs with a .246 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 12 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added five home runs and 30 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Tyler Phillips, who is 0-1 with a 2.08 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 43.1 innings pitched this year.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 34-33 this season after they lost game two by a score of 0-8 last night. Arizona had plenty of baserunners in the game, but couldn’t find any runs in the loss. The Diamondbacks recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Moreno, who went 2-3 with one walk. Nelson allowed eight hits and seven earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Loaisiga allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Arizona lost two out of three against the Nationals and split four games with the Dodgers.
This season, Arizona has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while they have scored 289 runs with a .240 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Ildemaro Vargas has led the Diamondbacks with seven home runs and 37 RBIs, while Ketel Marte has added 11 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Merrill Kelly, who is 5-4 with a 5.71 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 58.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last eight games against NL West opponents following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last five road games.
- The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last six games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six road games.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Diamondbacks and Marlins.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 day games against NL West opponents following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games at LoanDepot Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last six day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four day games at LoanDepot Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last five games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances with the Marlins as favorites against NL West opponents.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (91) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as underdogs.
- Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in six of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Merrill Kelly has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 road games against NL opponents.
- Corbin Carroll ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.555) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (77).
- The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (15).
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (17).
- The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (469).
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have scored 26 runs during that span. The Marlins are 22-16 at home this year, while the Diamondbacks are 13-19 on the road. Arizona has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 6+ runs in all four of those losses. The Diamondbacks are starting Kelly, who has allowed 7, 2, 2, 3, and 1 earned run over his last five starts, while Phillips has allowed six earned runs and 13 hits in his last 9.2 innings. Take the over here.