In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 11th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 52-43 this season after they lost game one by a score of 2-3 on Friday night. Miami cut the deficit to 3-2 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Marlins recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Hernandez, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Alcantara allowed five hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Gusto threw two relief innings. Prior to this series, Miami swept the Mariners in three games and swept the Athletics in three games.
This season, Miami has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 436 runs with a .254 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 13 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added nine home runs and 45 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 5-6 with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 79.2 innings pitched this season.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 49-46 this year after they won game one by a score of 3-2 last night. Cleveland scored three runs in the first five innings, which was enough to get the low scoring win. The Guardians recorded five hits in the game and they were led by DeLauter, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Messick allowed one hit and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Smith picked up the save. Prior to this series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the Twins and split four games with the White Sox.
This season, Cleveland has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 376 runs with a .227 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with 10 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 11 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 2-9 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 106.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have lost each of their last four day games following a road win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games following a win.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Marlins’ last five games.
- The Marlins have lost three of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Guardians’ last eight road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Twelve of the Marlins’ last 15 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last nine home games against American League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last seven road games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last five games as home favorites.
- Eury Perez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight home games.
- Eury Perez has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Chase DeLauter has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games.
- Chase DeLauter has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances.
Marlins vs Guardians Prediction
Miami had their winning streak snapped on Friday night in game one, but they have played very well over the last two weeks. The Marlins are 31-18 at home this year, while the Guardians are 25-24 on the road. Cleveland has won two in a row and they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last four games. The Guardians are starting Bibee, who has allowed 6, 2, 0, 3, and 2 earned runs in his last five starts, while Perez has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. Take the Marlins here.