In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 8th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 17-21 this season after they lost two out of three against the Orioles by scores of 7-9, 4-7, and 4-3. In game three, Miami blew a 3-1 lead, but they scored on an error in the ninth for the walk-off win. The Marlins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Hicks, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Meyer allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Faucher picked up the win. Prior to that series, Miami lost three out of four against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Dodgers before that.
This season, Miami has a 4.06 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 161 runs with a .248 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 34 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 16 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Robby Snelling, who is making his first appearance of the season.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 18-20 this year after they won two out of three against the Twins by scores of 3-11, 15-2, and 7-5. In game three, Washington blew a 5-3 lead, but they scored twice in the seventh to get the win. The Nationals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Ruiz, who went 3-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Irvin allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Poulin got the win and Varland picked up the save. Prior to this series, Washington lost two out of three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that.
This season, Washington has a 4.83 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 205 runs with a .243 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with nine home runs and 33 RBIs, while James Wood has added 10 home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Foster Griffin, who is 3-1 with a 2.27 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 39.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last eight night games following a win.
- The Marlins have won six of their last seven night games against the Nationals at LoanDepot Park following a home win.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 Friday games.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won each of their last four games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Friday games as home favorites.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the last seven games between the Nationals and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Nationals’ last seven games as underdogs against the Marlins have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last six night games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Marlins’ last six night games at LoanDepot Park.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 29 home appearances.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 12 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (50) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last seven road games against NL opponents.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 13 road games against NL opponents.
- Nasim Nunez ranks T1st in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (8).
- The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (39).
- The Nationals rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (55).
- The Nationals rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (215).
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored 22 runs in their last two games. The Nationals are 12-7 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 12-11 at home. Miami has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 7+ runs in three of those five. The Marlins are starting Snelling, who is making his MLB debut, while Griffin has allowed zero earned runs in three of his last five starts. I think Griffin has been very solid for a Nationals team that struggles with pitching, while I don’t know what to expect from Snelling. Take Washington to win here.