In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 21st at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 64-64 this season after they lost all three against the Phillies by scores of 5-6, 4-6, and 1-4. In game three, Miami cut the deficit to 3-1 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Marlins recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Sanoja, who went 3-3 with one home run and one RBI. Alcantara allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while King allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Miami won two out of three against the Reds and two out of three against the Pirates.
This season, Miami has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 560 runs with a .250 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 54 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Gusto, who is 0-3 with a 4.70 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 53.2 innings pitched this year.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 61-68 this year after they lost two out of three against the Rangers by scores of 0-5, 6-0, and 0-2. In game three, Washington allowed a run in the third inning and another in the eighth inning in the shutout loss. The Nationals recorded one hit and they were led by House, who went 1-1 with two walks in the game. Alvarez allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Cosgrove allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Washington lost all three against the Mets and two out of three against the Cubs.
This season, Washington has a 4.68 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .258 opponent batting average, while they have scored 676 runs with a .249 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 29 home runs and 91 RBIs, while James Wood has added 30 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Brad Lord, who is 5-2 with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 62.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have lost 13 of their last 14 games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Marlins following a loss.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games at LoanDepot Park against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a road loss.
- The road team has won each of the last three games between the Nationals and Marlins.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 16 Friday games as home favorites.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Nationals’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of the Marlins’ last 13 games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Nationals’ last seven night games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 home games against the Nationals.
- Otto Lopez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (153) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Abimelec Ortiz has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last five games against NL opponents.
- Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (40) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (27).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (130).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (676).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (182).
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup after losing three games in a row to the Phillies, but they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last five. The Marlins are 38-25 at home this year, while the Nationals are 34-32 on the road. Washington has lost four of their last five games and they have been shutout in two of their last three. The Nationals are starting Lord, who has allowed three earned runs in his last 4.0 innings, while Gusto has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Marlins to win here.