In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 21st at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 46-52 this year after they won two out of three against Kansas City by scores of 8-7, 3-1, and 4-7. In their game three loss, Miami failed to score in the first eight innings, but they scored four in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Marlins recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Edwards and Ramirez, who both had two RBIs in the loss. Miami started Junk, who allowed six hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Bellozo allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to that series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Orioles and split four games with the Reds. Miami has won four of its last five games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 423 runs with a .253 batting average and a .315 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 21 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 14 home runs and 44 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 34.0 innings pitched this year.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 54-45 this season after they won two out of three against Washington by scores of 7-2, 2-4, and 8-1. In their game three win, San Diego scored eight runs in the first three innings and coasted to the win. The Padres recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bogaerts, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. San Diego started Pivetta, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Hoeing and Jacob closed out the game.
Prior to that series, the Padres won two out of three against the Phillies and split four games with the Diamondbacks. San Diego has won five of their last seven games, and they are currently second in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 383 runs with a .246 batting average and a .315 on-base percentage this season. Manny Machado has led San Diego with 18 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Fernando Tatis has added 16 home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is TBD.
Why the Marlins will beat the Padres
- The Padres have lost each of their last eight games following a road win.
- The Marlins have won each of their last six games against NL West opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games following a home loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four games against NL West opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Padres’ last six night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last five games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last seven night games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight night games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games against the Padres.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four night games.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 26th in the league for home runs this season (90).
- The Marlins rank T6th in the league for triples this season (16).
- The Padres rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (695).
- The Padres rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (86).
Marlins vs Padres Prediction
Miami had its winning streak snapped on Sunday afternoon with a pretty lousy effort, but they are still playing well right now and they are pulling from the Braves in the East. The Marlins are 22-28 at home this year, while the Padres are 23-27 at home. San Diego is closing in on the Dodgers in the West, but they have very little room for error. We don’t know who will be on the mound for SD, but we know Perez will start for Miami, who has allowed a total of one earned run in his last 18.0 innings. We lost with Miami on Sunday, but we are going back to them here, as Perez has been elite.