In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 19th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 29-43 this year after they lost two of the first three games in this series by scores of 2-5, 8-3, and 2-4. In their game three loss, Miami allowed the first four runs in the game and they came up short in their comeback attempt in the ninth. The Marlins recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Myers and Norby, who both had one RBI in the loss. Miami started Mazur, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Bachar and Phillips combined for 3.1 scoreless innings in relief.
Prior to this series, the Marlins swept the Nationals in three games, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that. Miami has won four of its last six games, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.99 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 294 runs with a .252 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 10 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 10 home runs and 23 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 2-2 with a 4.10 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 52.2 innings pitched this year.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 44-30 this season after they won game three by a score of 4-2 on Wednesday night. Philadelphia scored all four of its runs in the fourth inning, but went scoreless over the last five innings in the win. The Phillies recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Stott, who went 2-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Strahm picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the Blue Jays in three games and won two out of three against the Cubs. Philadelphia has won six of its last seven games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 346 runs with a .257 batting average and a .331 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 22 home runs and 53 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added nine home runs and 34 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 5-2 with a 3.05 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 79.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Phillies will beat the Marlins
- The Marlins have lost six of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have won six of their last seven games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at LoanDepot Park.
- The road team has covered the run line in five of the Marlins’ last six games.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in eight of their last nine Thursday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine Thursday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 11 Thursday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven Thursday night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Phillies’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five home games against NL East opponents.
- Edward Cabrera has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at LoanDepot Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Max Kepler has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five games against the Marlins.
- Max Kepler has scored at least one run in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Marlins.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
Marlins vs Phillies Prediction
Philadelphia was able to bounce back from its loss on Tuesday with a nice win on Wednesday night, and they will look for the series win here. The Phillies are 20-17 at home this year, while the Marlins are 15-22 on the road. Miami is starting Cabrera, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. The Phillies are going with Sanchez, who has also allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings, but has pitched much deeper into games than Cabrera. I have been backing the Phillies on this current streak and will take them on the run line once again here.