In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 13th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 62-59 this season after they won the first two games by scores of 2-0 and 8-2. In game two, Miami trailed 1-0 in the second inning, but they scored the next five runs to pull away with the win. The Marlins recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hernandez, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Junk allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Vodnik threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Miami won two out of three against the Angels, but lost all three against the Braves before that.
This season, Miami has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 534 runs with a .251 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 53 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 12 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Tyler Phillips, who is 3-5 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 93.1 innings pitched this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 58-64 this year after they lost game two by a score of 2-8 last night. Pittsburgh led 1-0 in the second inning, but scored just one run in the last seven innings for the loss. The Pirates recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Valdez, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Mlodzinski allowed five hits and four earned runs over 2.1 innings for the loss, while Bachar allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three against the Mets and three out of four against the Brewers.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.35 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 604 runs with a .255 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 25 home runs and 74 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Braxton Ashcraft, who is 11-5 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 132.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last 12 home games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Pirates have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 15 day games following a win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
- The Pirates have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won five of their last six day games following a road loss.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games following a road loss.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Pirates’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last six games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of Braxton Ashcraft’s last eight road appearances as a starter.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Griffin Conine has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last five games as home underdogs.
- Tyler Phillips has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents.
- Javier Sanoja has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Braxton Ashcraft has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Pirates as road favorites.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Braxton Ashcraft has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with the Pirates as road favorites.
Marlins vs Pirates Prediction
Pittsburgh picked up another loss in game two on Wednesday night, as they continue to fall apart over the last three weeks. The Pirates are 28-34 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 38-24 at home. Miami has won four in a row and they have allowed five total runs in those four wins. The Marlins are starting Phillips, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, while Ashcraft has allowed 4+ earned runs in four of his last five. Take the over here.