In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, June 13th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 35-35 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 19-18 home record and are coming off a 3-8 home defeat against the Marlins. They will face the Athletics and the Rockies next.
The Pirates have a .253 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .405 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 46, adding a team-high 17 home runs.
Bubba Chandler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 2-7 record, 4.91 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 35-35 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 12-19 road record and are coming off an 8-3 road win against the Pirates. They will face the Phillies and the Giants next.
The Marlins have a .246 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .383 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .342 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 50, adding a team-high 13 home runs.
Lake Bachar (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 0-0 record, 2.97 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.
Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: June 13, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler Record this season: 2-7 ERA: 4.91
- Home Record: 1-3
- Last 5 against Marlins: –
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The home team has won five of the Marlins’ last six games.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six day games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in 16 of their last 20 home games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against the Pirates following a road win.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Lake Bachar Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 2.97
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have won each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last 10 home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Marlins’ last nine day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Bubba Chandler’s last six appearances as a starter.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last eight home games against NL opponents.
- Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Marlins.
- Brandon Lowe ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (17) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Owen Caissie has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Esteury Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL Central opponents.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (94) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (647).
- The Pirates rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (610).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (80).
- The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (15).
Marlins vs Pirates Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and the Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.
In this Marlins vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -135 home favorites. The Marlins have been the hottest team in baseball with just one loss in their last 10 games and will face Bubba Chandler, who has been bad this season and has 4 earned runs in three of his last five starts and sits on a 5.79 home ERA. The Marlins are going for a bullpen game, but their bullpen has been far better than the Pirates’, so I like them once again as road dogs. Take the Marlins to win for plus money.