The Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins meet Monday in MLB action at loanDepot Park. Here’s a Marlins vs Reds Prediction. This article will include a Marlins vs Reds Pick.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 11-11 on the year and play the Rockies, Cardinals, and Nationals next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .244 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.27 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. TJ Friedl leads the Cincinnati Reds with 24 hits and 10 RBI, while Gavin Lux and Elly De La Cruz have combined for 43 hits and 31 RBI.
Nick Lodolo gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 2-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. Lodolo is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 9-12 on the year and play the Mariners, Dodgers, and Athletics next. The Miami Marlins are batting .260 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and a .384 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 5.07 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 26 hits and 7 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Griffin Conine have combined for 39 hits and 18 RBI.
Max Meyer gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 1-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. This will be Meyer’s second career game against the Cincinnati Reds.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The underdogs have won three of the Reds’ last four games.
- The Reds have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games following a road win.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 15 night games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Reds have won each of their last 11 Monday games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 night games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has recorded a Double in four of the Marlins’ last five games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last four games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Otto Lopez has scored a run in each of the Marlins’ last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded a Single in three of the Marlins’ last four games.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last eight home appearances against NL Central opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games against the Marlins.
- Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Reds as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Austin Hays has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Reds as road favorites.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks T5th in the league in Steals (7) this season.
Marlins vs Reds Prediction
The Reds should be favored because they’re the better team on paper, but both of these offenses are on fire, so the matchup is closer than expected. Also, Meyer has been incredible through 24 innings, allowing 20 hits and seven earned runs while striking out 27. Lodolo has benefited solidly as well and has a top-10 WHIP at 0.81, but he is coming off a shaky performance against the Mariners, where he allowed five hits and four runs in 4.2 innings. The Marlins have an edge in this spot, especially at home. The Reds have also had issues stringing wins together this season. I’ll take a stab with the Marlins and the plus money.