In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 8th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 6-5 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 0-2 and 3-6. In their game two loss, Miami led 2-0 for the majority of the game, but they blew the save in the ninth and got blown out in the 10th for the loss. The Marlins recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lopez, Hernandez, and Pauley, who all had one RBI. Alcantara allowed three hits and two earned runs over 8.1 innings in the no decision, while Faucher picked up the loss in extras. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the White Sox before that.
This season, Miami has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .189 opponent batting average, while they have scored 52 runs with a .253 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with three home runs and 12 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and nine RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 11.0 innings pitched this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 8-3 this year after they won game two in extra innings by a score of 6-3 on Tuesday night. Cincinnati was shutout for the first eight innings, but they rallied in the ninth and scored four in the 10th for the comeback win. The Reds recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by McLain, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. Abbott allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings in the no decision, while Pagan picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati swept the Rangers in three games, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that.
This season, Cincinnati has a 2.82 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .205 opponent batting average, while they have scored 34 runs with a .204 batting average and a .288 on base percentage. Eugenio Suarez has led the Reds with two home runs and seven RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added two home runs and six RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 0-0 with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 9.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won four of their last five home games following a loss.
- The Reds have lost nine of their last 12 road games following an extra innings win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs following an extra innings win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last six Wednesday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last seven games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 25 of their last 27 games as home favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Reds’ last 10 games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven home games.
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Brady Singer has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents.
- JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
Marlins vs Reds Prediction
Cincinnati comes into this matchup on a lengthy winning streak and they have allowed one run or fewer in three of their last four games. The Reds are 5-0 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 5-3 at home. Miami has lost four of their last five games and they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last five. The Marlins absolutely collapsed on Tuesday night in their loss, but they should bounce back with Perez on the mound. Take Miami to win here.