In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 9th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 7-5 this season after they won game three in this series by a score of 7-4 on Wednesday. Miami trailed 2-0 in the top of the first inning, but they scored the next six runs to pull away with the win. The Marlins recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Conine, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Perez allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Petersen picked up the save. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the White Sox before that.
This season, Miami has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .195 opponent batting average, while they have scored 59 runs with a .262 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with three home runs and 13 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and nine RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 0-0 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 9.2 innings pitched this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 8-4 this year after they won games one and two by scores of 2-0 and 6-3, before they lost game three. In the game three loss, Cincinnati jumped out to an early lead, but they got an awful outing from Singer for the loss. The Reds recorded nine hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Stewart, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Singer allowed 10 hits and five earned runs over 2.2 innings for the loss, while Phillips allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati swept the Rangers in three games, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that.
This season, Cincinnati has a 2.82 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .205 opponent batting average, while they have scored 34 runs with a .204 batting average and a .288 on base percentage. Eugenio Suarez has led the Reds with two home runs and seven RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added two home runs and six RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Rhett Lowder, who is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 11.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won seven of their last eight day games after playing the previous day.
- The Reds have lost seven of their last eight Thursday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Reds following a home win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Thursday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Reds’ last eight games.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Thursday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last eight day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Reds’ last eight day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Reds’ last five games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances.
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
- Xavier Edwards ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (18) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
- JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- Sal Stewart ranks T4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.683) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank T1st in the league for triples this season (4).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (16).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (38).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (35).
Marlins vs Reds Prediction
Miami was able to finally get a win in this series on Wednesday night and they will try to save a series split here. The Marlins are 6-3 at home this year, while the Reds are 5-1 on the road. Cincinnati has won four of their last five games and they have allowed one run or fewer in three of their last five. I do think the Reds have the advantage on the mound, while Miami has been the higher scoring team. Take the Reds here, as Lowder has been very impressive.