In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, July 2nd in the fourth game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Colorado Rockies Preview
The Colorado Rockies have a 34‑53 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL West. They have a 19‑24 home record and are coming off a 6‑3 home win against the Marlins. They will face the Giants and the Dodgers next.
The Rockies have a .254 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .417 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.60 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Troy Johnston is the team’s best hitter with a .313 batting average. Hunter Goodman leads the team in RBI with 50, adding a team‑high 27 home runs.
Michael Lorenzen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies, and he has a 3‑9 record, 6.83 ERA and 1.79 WHIP.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 46‑41 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 18‑24 road record and are coming off a 3‑6 road defeat against the Rockies. They will face the Athletics and the Mariners next.
The Marlins have a .250 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .332 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 53, adding a team‑high 13 home runs.
Ryan Gusto (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 0‑2 record, 5.06 ERA and 1.55 WHIP.
Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: July 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen Record this season: 3-9 ERA: 6.83
- Home Record: 1-4
- Last 5 against Marlins: 3-0
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Rockies have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have lost 10 of their last 15 games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Marlins following a win.
- The Rockies have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rockies have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryan Gusto Record this season: 0-2 ERA: 5.06
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Rockies: –
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last nine home games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have won 10 of their last 11 games against NL West opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 13 games against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rockies’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Marlins’ last six day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last six day games at Coors Field.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Rockies’ last eight games.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Mickey Moniak has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances against the Marlins.
- Michael Lorenzen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
- Michael Lorenzen has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Troy Johnston has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games.
- Hunter Goodman ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (27) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Joe Mack has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ryan Gusto has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Owen Caissie has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games as favorites.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (112) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (162).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.60).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (21).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (94).
Marlins vs Rockies Prediction
The Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against the Rockies and are 6-1 in their last 7 visits in Colorado.
In this Marlins vs Rockies Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -125 road favorites. The Marlins have been one of the hottest teams in baseball but I don’t trust Ryan Gusto on the mound, as I don’t trust Michael Lorenzen as well. They both have a combined 11.89 ERA and their home/away splits are even worse, with a 15.40 combined ERA. This game takes place in Coors Field and two of the three games in this series had 17 total runs. Take the over 12 in this one.