In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 19th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 45-51 this year after they won game one by a score of 8-7 in dramatic fashion. Miami blew a 5-0 lead early in the game, and they trailed 7-5 in the 10th, before hitting a walk-off home run. The Marlins recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Stowers, who went 3-5 with two home runs and five RBIs in the win. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Bachar picked up the win.
Prior to this series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Orioles and split four games with the Reds. Miami has won three games in a row, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 416 runs with a .254 batting average and a .315 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 21 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 14 home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 3-8 with a 5.62 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 81.2 innings pitched this year.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 47-51 this season after they lost game one on Friday night in extra innings. Kansas City scored a run in the ninth to tie the game, and they led by two in the 10th, but they couldn’t hold on and picked up the loss. The Royals recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Rave, who went 2-4 with two home runs and four RBIs in the loss. KC started Lugo, who allowed eight hits and five earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Estevez picked up the blown save and the loss.
Prior to this series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Mets, but did sweep the Pirates in three games before that. Kansas City has lost three of its last four games, and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.52 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 335 runs with a .245 batting average and a .300 on-base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 15 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 14 home runs and 54 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who is 4-9 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 106.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Royals
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against American League opponents.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Royals at LoanDepot Park.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Royals.
- The Royals have lost the first inning in each of their last three games as road favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Eleven of the Royals’ last 12 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last 11 Saturday games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four day games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Cal Quantrill has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances against the Royals.
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL Central opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Michael Wacha has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Marlins.
- Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in three of the Royals’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 27 road games.
- Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six Saturday appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Kyle Isbel has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Marlins vs Royals Prediction
Miami might be six games below .500 and 9.5 games back in the NL East, but they are playing very well and have been one of the more exciting teams to watch recently. The Marlins are 21-27 at home this year, while the Royals are 23-25 on the road. Kansas City continues to battle at the bottom of the AL Central, and they are starting Wacha, who has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The Marlins are starting Quantrill, who has allowed two earned runs in three of his last four, but did get roughed up last time out. I don’t like either starting pitcher in this game, but I know I can’t trust this low-scoring KC lineup. Take the Marlins at plus money.