In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 12th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 68-79 this season after they split four games with Washington by scores of 7-15, 5-7, 8-3, and 5-0. In their game four win, Miami scored twice in the first inning and never looked back in the shutout victory. The Marlins recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Wagaman, who went 3-4 with three RBIs in the win. Miami started Weathers, who allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Phillips and Henriquez picked up holds.
Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Phillies and all three against the Nationals. Miami has won three of their last five games and they are third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.75 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 641 runs with a .250 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers (IL) has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 19 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 8-12 with a 5.67 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 154.0 innings pitched this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 84-63 this year after they won two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 12-2, 11-1, and 3-9. In their game three loss, Detroit tied the game at one in the second inning, but allowed the next eight runs for the blowout loss. The Tigers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Dingler, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Detroit started Holton, who allowed two hits and two earned runs over 1.0 inning for the loss, while Gipson-Long allowed seven earned runs as the bulk pitcher.
Prior to that series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Mets. Detroit has won three of their last five games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 721 runs with a .251 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 33 home runs and 107 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 28 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 13-4 with a 2.10 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 180.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Tigers will beat the Marlins
- The Marlins have lost each of their last five night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Tigers have won five of their last six games following a loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Tigers and Marlins.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games following a win.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games at LoanDepot Park against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Marlins’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 night games against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven home appearances against AL Central opponents.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jake Rogers has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Tigers as favorites against NL opponents.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Marlins vs Tigers Prediction
Detroit has been extremely inconsistent over the last two months, but they got a big series win in New York earlier this week. The Tigers are 38-34 on the road this season, while the Marlins are 34-41 at home. Miami has scored at least five runs in five straight games, but they are facing Skubal, who has allowed a total of one earned run in his last 27.2 innings pitched. Detroit is going up against Alcantara, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow four earned runs last time out. Take Skubal and the Tigers by at least two runs here.