In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 3rd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 38-46 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-0 and 1-2. In their game two loss, Miami tied the game at one in the second inning, but went scoreless over the last seven innings for the loss. The Marlins recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Stowers, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Miami started Junk, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Simpson and Bellozo combined for 3.0 scoreless innings in relief.
Prior to this series, the Marlins swept the Diamondbacks and swept the Giants in three games each. Miami has won eight of its last nine games, and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.79 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 356 runs with a .254 batting average and a .317 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 15 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 12 home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 16.0 innings pitched this year.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 41-45 this season after they won game two by a score of 2-1 on Wednesday night. Minnesota scored the go-ahead run in the fourth inning, and they were able to hang on for the low-scoring win. The Twins recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Lee and Correa, who both had one RBI in the win. Minnesota started Woods Richardson, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Duran picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Tigers and split four games with the Mariners. Minnesota has lost eight of their last twelve games, and they are currently. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 358 runs with a .239 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 19 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 12 home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is David Festa, who is 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 36.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Marlins will beat the Twins
- The Marlins have won nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Twins have lost four of their last five games as road favorites.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last three day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six Thursday games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against AL opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in four of his last six road appearances with the Twins against NL opponents.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 10 day games.
Marlins vs Twins Prediction
Miami’s long winning streak finally came to an end on Wednesday night, but they can still get the series win in this contest. The Marlins are 18-25 at home this season, while the Twins are 19-28 on the road. Minnesota’s offense has scored a grand total of two runs in their last three games, and they are going against Perez, who has been decent in four outings this year, but hasn’t pitched five innings yet. Minnesota is starting Festa, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings, but did allow eight earned runs in each of the other two during that span. I don’t trust Festa at all in this situation, so give me Miami here.