In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 14th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 31-39 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 7-5 and 1-3. In game two, New York cut the deficit to 2-1 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t score anymore runs in the loss. The Mets recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Vientos, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Manaea allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Warren allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Cardinals, but did win two out of three against the Padres before that.
This season, New York has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 280 runs with a .228 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 15 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added eight home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Freddy Peralta, who is 4-5 with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 78.0 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 46-24 this season after they won game two by a score of 3-1 on Saturday afternoon. Atlanta led 1-0 in the second inning and they never gave up the lead in the win. The Braves recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by White, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Perez allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings for the win, while Iglesias picked up the save. Prior to this series, Atlanta lost both games against the White Sox, but did sweep the Pirates before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.23 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while they have scored 358 runs with a .256 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 20 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 13 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 5-3 with a 2.66 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 84.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won 12 of their last 13 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five road games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
- The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against the Braves.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won 12 of their last 13 games against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Mets have lost eight of their last nine Sunday games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games at Citi Field following a loss.
- The Braves have covered the run line in 29 of their last 33 road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Mets at Citi Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Mets’ last 12 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Braves’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven day games between the Braves and Mets.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four day games at Citi Field.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Bo Bichette has hit at least one home run in two of the Mets’ last three games.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Braves .
- Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 14 home games against NL East opponents.
- Juan Soto ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.559) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in four of his last five road appearances.
- Matt Olson ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (89).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.292).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.23).
- The Braves rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).
Mets vs Braves Prediction
Atlanta was able to snap their small losing streak with a win in game two, but they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last five games. The Braves are 24-13 on the road this year, while the Mets are 17-18 at home. New York has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 5+ runs in three of those five. The Mets are starting Peralta, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Elder has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five outings. Neither starter has been great, but I will side with the Braves to win again here.