The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Braves Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Braves Pick.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 37-41 on the year and play the Phillies, Angels, and Orioles next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .245 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .384 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Austin Riley leads the Atlanta Braves with 88 hits and 41 RBI, while Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna have combined for 141 hits and 92 RBI.
Didier Fuentes gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. This will be Fuentes’s first career game against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 46-34 on the year and play the Pirates, Brewers, and Yankees next. The New York Mets are batting .243 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .417 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 86 hits and 64 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 155 hits and 83 RBI.
Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 7-4 with a 3.04 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 1-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last six games against the Mets.
- The Mets have lost each of their last three games as home favorites.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games against the Mets.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Nimmo has hit at least one home run in four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five games as home favorites against the Braves.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in each of the Braves’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 games against the Mets.
- Sean Murphy has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Braves as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
I’ve given the Mets a chance or two during this losing streak, and at some point, you have to see them stop the bleeding before getting burned again. With that said, the Mets are still better than what they’ve shown over the last two weeks, and Fuentes is making just his second career start. Fuentes wasn’t good in his MLB debut, allowing six hits and four runs in five innings against the Marlins.
Holmes has been solid with his 3.04 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, and he’s allowed eight runs in his last 22.2 innings. Holmes has a 3.29 ERA and a .200 allowed batting average in 41 home innings. The Mets are going to win eventually, right? Give me the Mets with the more stable pitcher.