In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Braves Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 24th at the Truist Park in the third game of this series, with the Mets having the 2-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 58-71 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 32-33 home record and 59-60 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-9 home defeat by the Mets, and have back-to-back losses. Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games and are playing the Marlins and the Phillies next.
The Braves have a .244 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .394 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 133 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .268 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 72, while Marcell Ozuna leads the team in home runs with 20.
Bryce Elder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 5-9 record, 6.29 ERA and 1.56 WHIP.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 69-60 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL East. The Mets have a 28-36 road record and are 59-63 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-2 road victory over the Braves, and have back-to-back wins. Over is 4-0-2 in their last 6 games and are playing the Marlins and the Phillies next.
The Mets have a .247 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .424 slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 137 hits and leads the team in batting average with .265. Pete Alonso adds a team-high 103 RBI. Juan Soto adds team-high 32 home runs.
David Peterson (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has an 8-5 record, 3.18 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Mets have lost nine of their last 10 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Mets.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The road team has won each of the last four games between the Mets and Braves.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last 10 games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last four day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last four day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six home games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four day games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (458).
- The Braves rank 25th in the league for steals this season (64).
- The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (118).
- The Mets rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (454).
Mets vs Braves Prediction
The Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 head-to-head meetings against the Braves, and have won both games of this series in Atlanta by a combined 21-9 score. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Mets vs Braves Prediction, the Mets are coming as -135 road favorites. The Mets are dominating the Braves in this series, and I don’t think things will change when Elder takes the mound for the Braves. He has been terrible at home, with a horrendous 7.43 home ERA in 11 home starts, and he has been in very bad form lately, with an 8.33 ERA across his last five starts. Peterson for the Mets has one earned run in his last two road starts, and the Mets have a superior offense. Take the New York Mets to keep rolling in this one.