In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, July 22nd in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 63-38 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 33-19 home record and are coming off a 0-4 home loss against the Mets. They will face the Rockies and the Giants next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .253 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Garrett Mitchell is the team’s best hitter with a .280 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 61, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 18 home runs.
Logan Henderson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he has a 3-1 record, 2.97 ERA and 0.93 WHIP.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 43-59 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 22-31 away record and are coming off a 4-0 road win against the Brewers. They will face the Dodgers and the Braves next.
The New York Mets have a .233 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .380 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Juan Soto is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 52, and adds a team-high 21 home runs.
Christian Scott (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the New York Mets, and he has a 3-1 record, 2.87 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: July 22, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 2.97
- Home Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Mets: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The home team has won seven of the Brewers’ last eight games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 2.87
- Road Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: –
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have won four of their last five road games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the last nine games between the Mets and Brewers.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Brewers.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Mets’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Christian Scott’s last six road appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last six day games between the Mets and Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Logan Henderson has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Jared Young has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Christian Scott has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 games against NL Central opponents.
- Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.404) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (94).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (94).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (127).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (127).
Mets vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Mets, all of them in Milwaukee. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Mets vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -140 home favorites. Both pitchers have been excellent with a combined 5.84 ERA and both have been in very good form, as Christian Scott has back-to-back shutouts for the Mets and has been better on the road, while Logan Henderson has given up one run or less in three of its last four starts and has a dominant 1.80 ERA at home. Yesterday’s game had just 4 total runs and I expect another low-scoring affair. Take the under 7.5 runs in this one.