In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 3rd at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 49-38 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-7 and 7-3. In their game two win, New York scored five runs in the first two innings, and they added two insurance runs late to seal the victory. The Mets recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Nimmo, who went 2-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. New York started Brazoban, who pitched the first inning, while Tidwell allowed five hits and three earned runs over 4.1 innings for the win.
Prior to this series, the Mets lost all three against the Pirates, but did split four games with the Braves before that. New York has lost four of their last five games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 377 runs with a .243 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 18 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 20 home runs and 47 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 5-4 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 95.1 innings pitched this year.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 48-38 this season after they lost game two of Wednesday’s doubleheader by a score of 7-3. Milwaukee cut the deficit to 5-3 in the sixth inning, but they couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Brewers recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Yelich, Chourio, and Ortiz, who all had one RBI in the loss. Milwaukee started Misiorowski, who allowed five hits and five earned runs over 3.2 innings for the loss, while McGee and Yoho each allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to this series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Rockies and two out of three against the Pirates. Milwaukee has won five of its last seven games, and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 407 runs with a .247 batting average and a .323 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 17 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 14 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jose Quintana, who is 6-2 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 60.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Mets will beat the Brewers
- The Mets have won each of their last seven home games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five night games following a road loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
Why the Brewers will beat the Mets
- The underdogs have won each of the Brewers’ last seven games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against the Brewers following a home win.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Mets’ last 10 games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last seven games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven night games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last seven night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has hit at least one home run in each of the Brewers’ last two night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 14 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine games as underdogs.
- Jose Quintana has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against former teams.
- Brice Turang has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Mets vs Brewers Prediction
New York was finally able to snap their losing streak with a win on Wednesday night, but they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Mets are 30-13 at home this year, while the Brewers are 21-21 on the road. Milwaukee is battling with the Cubs in the NL Central, and they are starting Quintana, who has allowed 4, 0, and 5 earned runs in his last three outings. New York is going with Peterson, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 13 hits over his last 8.2 innings. Take the over here.