In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 26th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 60-72 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-2 in extra innings. New York blew a 2-1 lead in the ninth inning, but they scored the lone run in the 10th for the win. The Mets recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Lindor, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Thornton allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Pintaro picked up the win. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the White Sox, but did win two out of three against the Padres before that.
This season, New York has a 4.05 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 549 runs with a .237 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 14 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Robert Stock, who is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 81-51 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-3 last night. Milwaukee led 1-0 in the fourth inning, but only scored one more run over the last six innings in the loss. The Brewers recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Yelich, who went 1-1 with one RBI. Harrison allowed six hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Megill picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Mariners.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.41 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .220 opponent batting average, while they have scored 652 runs with a .254 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 23 home runs and 75 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 16 home runs and 75 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Dustin May, who is 6-8 with a 4.57 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 124.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The underdogs have won eight of the Brewers’ last nine games at Citi Field.
- The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last nine games at Citi Field.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against the Brewers at Citi Field.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last six games against the Mets after going to extra innings.
- The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games against the Brewers following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games against the Brewers following a home win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Mets following a road loss.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in six of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Mets’ last 13 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last six games as favorites against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last nine games as road favorites against NL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last eight Wednesday games against NL opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Robert Stock has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances at Citi Field.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Torrens has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in seven of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Dustin May has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Dustin May has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents.
- Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jake Bauers ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.382) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (166).
- The Mets rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (120).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
Mets vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup on a two game losing streak, but they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last four. The Brewers are 36-27 on the road this year, while the Mets are 31-35 at home. New York has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in three of those five. The Mets are starting Stock, who has allowed 1, 0, 8, and 1 earned run in four outings, while May has allowed 7, 1, 2, 0, and 1 earned run in his last five starts. Take the Mets and the plus money here.