In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, July 20th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 62-37 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 32-18 home record and are coming off a 3-1 home win against the Marlins. They will face the Rockies and the Giants next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .254 batting average this season, .338 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .280 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 60, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 18 home runs.
Jacob Misiorowski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he has a 10-4 record, 1.62 ERA and 0.76 WHIP.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 42-58 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 21-30 away record and are coming off a 6-1 road win against the Phillies. They will face the Dodgers and the Braves next.
The New York Mets have a .232 batting average this season, .302 OBP and .380 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Juan Soto is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 52, and adds a team-high 21 home runs.
Freddy Peralta (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the New York Mets, and he has a 5-8 record, 4.66 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: July 20, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski Record this season: 10-4 ERA: 1.62
- Home Record: 5-1
- Last 5 against Mets: 0-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The home team has won each of the Brewers’ last six games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight Monday night home games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta Record this season: 5-8 ERA: 4.66
- Road Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Brewers: –
Why the New York Mets will win
- The road team has won five of the Mets’ last six games.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in six of the last seven games between the Mets and Brewers.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Brewers.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Brewers’ last 10 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last five games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in six of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (167) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Brewers.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 night games.
- Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.409) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (91).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (91).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (124).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (124).
Mets vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers have won their last three meetings against the Mets and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Mets vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -210 home favorites. I like the Brewers in this one with Jacob Misiorowski on the mound, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season and has a 5-1 record and 1.59 ERA at home. Peralta has been bad on the road for the Mets with a 2-4 record and 5.58 ERA, while the Brewers have both a better offense and a better bullpen. Take the Brewers to win this one comfortably and cover the runline.