In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Cubs Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, April 19th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 11-9 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL Central. They have a 6-5 home record and are coming off a 4-2 home win against the Mets. Their previous three games were a 12-4 home win against the Mets, a 11-2 and a 10-4 road win against the Phillies.
The Cubs have a .252 batting average this season, .343 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter with a .325 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 20. Ian Happ adds a team‑high 6 home runs.
Javier Assad (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 1-1 record, 8.10 ERA and 1.60 WHIP.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 7-14 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 4-8 away record and are coming off a 2-4 road loss against the Cubs. They lost their previous four road games to the Cubs and Dodgers by scores of 4-12, 2-8, 1-2, and 0-4.
The Mets have a .228 batting average this season, .293 OBP and .339 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Francisco Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .273 batting average, also adding a team‑high 4 home runs. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 9.
David Peterson (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-3 record, 6.41 ERA and 1.83 WHIP.
New York Mets @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: April 19, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Javier Assad Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 8.10
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Mets: 1-1
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last 10 games.
- The Cubs have won each of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have covered the run line each of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tobias Myers Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 3.46
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Cubs: 0-2
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Cubs have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
- The Mets have won four of their last six games as underdogs against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday day games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Sunday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Fourteen of the Mets’ last 16 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Cubs’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Cubs’ last 10 games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Mets’ last five day games at Wrigley Field.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Ian Happ has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
- Carson Kelly has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Nico Hoerner ranks T6th in the league in Hits (26) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mets as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in five of his last seven appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank T3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (149).
- The Cubs rank T27th in the league for triples this season (0).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.293).
- The Mets rank T28th in the league for runs scored this season (71).
Mets vs Cubs Prediction
The Cubs are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Mets but both teams are tied 3-3 in their last 6 meetings in Chicago.
In this Mets vs Cubs Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -135 home favorites. The Mets have been atrocious this season and have now lost ten games, having scored two runs or less in eight of their last 10 games. On the flip side, the Cubs have four consecutive wins and have scored 10+ runs in three of their last four games and also have the 4th-best offense in baseball and a better bullpen than the Mets. Assad is coming off a terrible start but he can only get better than that, while Peterson has been abysmal lately, having given up 14 runs in his last three starts. Take the Cubs on the moneyline in this one.