In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, September 7th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 72-72 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 43-29 home record and are coming off a 10-3 home win against the White Sox. They will face the Dodgers and the Dbacks next.
The Miami Marlins have a .247 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .302 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 63, while Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Eury Perez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 7-10 record, 3.72 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 65-78 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 31-38 away record and are coming off a 4-2 home win against the Giants. They will face the Yankees and the Orioles next.
The New York Mets have a .236 batting average this season, .306 OBP and .391 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Carson Benge is the team’s best hitter with a .276 batting average. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 71, while Juan Soto adds a team-high 23 home runs.
Jonah Tong (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 1-1 record, 3.60 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: September 7, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Eury Perez Record this season: 7-10 ERA: 3.72
- Home Record: 5-4
- Last 5 against Mets: 1-3
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last nine home games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have lost each of their last seven road games against the Marlins following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games following a home win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in 18 of their last 19 day games following a win.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Mets.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jonah Tong Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 3.60
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Marlins: 1-0
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight Monday games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a win.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Mets and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against the Marlins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last seven games against NL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Mets’ last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Marlins as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Monday appearances at LoanDepot Park.
- Eury Perez has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Marlins as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Otto Lopez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (169) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 23 appearances against the Marlins.
- Christopher Morel has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (30).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (149).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.306).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (181).
Mets vs Marlins Prediction
The Marlins have won their last three meetings against the Mets and have also won their last three meetings in Miami.
In this Mets vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -110 home favorites. I like the Marlins at home in this one with Eury Perez on the mound, who has been excellent at home with a 2.81 ERA. The Marlins have been very strong at home and have been far better than the Mets against righties in their last 10 games, averaging 6 runs per game and they also have a better bullpen ERA in their last 5 games. Take the Marlins to win this one at home.