The Washington Nationals and the New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mets vs Nationals Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Washington Nationals will send out Michael Soroka for the start here, and Soroka is 3-3 with a 4.86 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Soroka is 2-1 with a 4.21 ERA and 16 strikeouts. Kodai Senga will get the start for the Mets here and is 6-3 with a 1.59 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. In his career, Senga is 0-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 17 strikeouts against the Nationals.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-0 loss at the hands of the Mets in Wednesday’s matchup to sit at 30-37 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head home for a series against the Miami Marlins.
Nationals Drop Fourth Straight
Keibert Ruiz has 53 hits with 10 doubles and a pair of home runs with 22 RBIs, while James Wood has 69 hits with 16 doubles and a team-high 16 home runs, along with 45 RBIs and 9 stolen bases while also putting up 80 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 58 hits with 11 doubles and 42 RBIs, along with 9 home runs and 76 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 9 home runs and 22 RBIs along with 14 doubles and 11 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 15 doubles and 7 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged a team-high 11 stolen bases this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won three of their last four games as road underdogs following a road loss.
- The Mets have lost three of their last four day games against the Nationals following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Mets’ last nine games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last five day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Michael Soroka has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Amed Rosario has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.
- CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in seven of the Nationals’ last eight road games against NL opponents.
- Michael Soroka has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Nationals’ last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL opponents.
- James Wood ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Nationals on Wednesday to improve to 44-24 on the year. After this series, the Mets will square off in an interleague series against the Rays at home.
Mets Win 5 In A Row
Pete Alonso has 77 hits with 21 doubles, 17 home runs, 63 RBIs, and a .302 batting average, while Juan Soto has 61 hits with 13 doubles, 13 home runs, and 35 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 75 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 12 doubles, 14 home runs, and 38 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 56 hits with 12 doubles and 12 home runs, and 36 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
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- The Nationals have lost each of their last nine games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have won each of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Mets following a road loss.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites.
- Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances with the Mets as home favorites against the Nationals.
- Jesse Winker has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last seven games as favorites.
- Kodai Senga has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last seven home games against NL opponents.
- Kodai Senga ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.59) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Nationals’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Mets’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
I’m on the Mets here. I get the case to be made for the Nationals, as there’s going to be plenty of spots for the Nationals to get some value at times this season. However, the Nationals have been overmatched in this series and are struggling against right-handed pitching as of late, and I think Senga’s the much better starting option here. In the end, I think the Mets have an edge in the pen as well, and these are just two teams headed in different directions right now. Give me the Mets.