In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 14th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 69-80 this season after they lost two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 4-6, 12-2, and 0-2. In game three, New York allowed a run in the first and third innings for the low scoring loss. The Mets recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Baty, who went 1-3. Scott allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Warren threw an inning in relief. Prior to that series, New York swept the Marlins in three games and won two out of three against the Giants.
This season, New York has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 643 runs with a .238 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 25 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 16 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jonah Tong, who is 2-1 with a 4.80 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 15.0 innings pitched this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 72-78 this season after they lost two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 7-4, 3-7, and 1-8. In game three, Baltimore tied the game at one in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Orioles recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Alonso, who went 3-5 with one RBI. Rogers allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Hiraldo allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Guardians, but lost all four against the Red Sox before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.20 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 672 runs with a .234 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 35 home runs and 100 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 22 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 9-4 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 140.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won eight of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last four road games after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- The Mets have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Mets.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Monday night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 14 of the Orioles’ last 16 games against NL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight games against AL opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in 22 of his last 23 appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
- Jonah Tong has recorded a win in three of his four previous home appearances.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit a home run in each of his two previous road appearances against the Mets.
- Brandon Young has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Coby Mayo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances.
- Brandon Young has recorded a win in six of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Pete Alonso ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (192).
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.308).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1399).
- The Orioles rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.234).
Mets vs Orioles Prediction
Baltimore comes into this matchup after splitting their last four games, but they have allowed 7+ runs in three of their last five. The Orioles are 36-39 on the road this year, while the Mets are 34-40 at home. New York has won three of their last five games and they have allowed two runs in back to back games. The Mets are starting Tong, who has allowed eight earned runs in his last 8.1 innings, while Young has allowed nine earned runs in his last 10.1 innings. Take the over here.