The San Diego Padres and New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Padres Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Padres Pick.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 67-59 on the year and play the Pirates and Twins next. The San Diego Padres are batting .238 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and have a .388 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 134 hits and 57 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 213 hits and 133 RBI.
Robbie Ray gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 10-7 with a 3.28 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. Ray is 5-2 with a 3.14 ERA and 53 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 57-69 on the year and play the White Sox and Brewers next. The New York Mets are batting .236 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and have a .389 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 132 hits and 63 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 206 hits and 101 RBI.
Zac Thornton gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 3-3 with a 2.78 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. This will be Thornton’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The home team has won each of the Mets’ last six games.
- The Padres have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at Citi Field.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last eight night games at Citi Field following a road loss.
- The Mets have lost eight of their last nine games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 11 night games at Citi Field following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Mets’ last 10 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Padres’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Robbie Ray’s last six road appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last five games between the Padres and Mets at Citi Field.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Luis Torrens has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as underdogs.
- Zach Thornton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
- Zach Thornton has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his four previous home appearances.
- Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in 23 of his last 25 appearances in night games.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Robbie Ray has recorded a win in each of his last 11 Tuesday appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Robbie Ray has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.
- Freddy Fermin has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Mets.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 9th in the league in Steals (28) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (157).
- The Mets rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
- The Padres rank 4th in the league for steals this season (124).
- The Padres rank 25th in the league for hits this season (986).
Mets vs Padres Prediction
Thornton has been solid up to this point, but the jury is still out on him with just 45.1 innings under his belt. The Mets are also a team I’ve faded all season, and it’s paid off up to this point. Ray looks like his old self with a 3.28 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, and he’s allowed just 12 earned runs in his last 36 innings. The Padres are also fighting for their playoff lives and need to take advantage of bad teams to improve their odds. Cheap price. Give me the road team.