In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 16th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 77-73 this season after they lost two out of three against Texas by scores of 3-8, 2-3, and 5-2. In their game three win, New York blew a 2-0 lead in the seventh, but scored three runs in the bottom of the 10th for the victory. The Mets recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Alonso, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. New York started McLean, who allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Stanek got the win.
Prior to that series, the Mets lost all four against the Phillies and two out of three against the Reds. New York has lost eight of their last nine games and they are second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 704 runs with a .249 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 34 home runs and 117 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 40 home runs and 98 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who is 11-8 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 151.0 innings pitched this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 82-68 this year after they won three out of four against Colorado by scores of 2-0, 2-4, 11-3, and 9-6. In their game four win, San Diego nearly blew a 7-0 lead, but they added two insurance runs in the eighth to seal the victory. The Padres recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Merrill, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. San Diego started Darvish, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Suarez picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Reds, but did win two out of three against the Rockies before that. San Diego has split their last six games and they are second in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 641 runs with a .252 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Manny Machado has led San Diego with 25 home runs and 88 RBIs, while Fernando Tatis has added 22 home runs and 65 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 4-2 with a 2.87 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Mets will beat the Padres
- The Padres have lost eight of their last nine road games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have won eight of their last nine home games after going to extra innings.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against the Mets following a win.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the last seven games between the Padres and Mets at Citi Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Fifteen of the Padres’ last 18 night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last eight Tuesday games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four home games against National League opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in four of his last five home appearances against the Padres.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 12 home games against NL opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four home games against NL opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded a Double in four of the Padres’ last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Mets vs Padres Prediction
Both of these teams come into this series fighting for playoff positioning, so this is a huge series for each side. San Diego is 35-40 on the road this year, while New York is 46-29 at home. The Mets are really struggling over the last two weeks and they are starting Holmes, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. SD is going with King, who has allowed two earned runs in four of his last five starts, but he has only pitched twice since May due to injury. This should be a fantastic game, but I have to side with New York at home.