In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 19th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 70-84 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 0-3 and 6-3. In game two, New York scored three runs in the first inning and three more in the sixth to seal the win. The Mets recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Soto, who went 3-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Thornton allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Nunez picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Yankees.
This season, New York has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 656 runs with a .238 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 26 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 16 home runs and 74 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is 4-5 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 105.1 innings pitched this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 85-69 this year after they lost game two by a score of 3-6 last night. Philadelphia cut the deficit to 3-2 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Phillies recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Hill, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Mayza opened the game and picked up the loss, while Kerkering allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia split two games with the Nationals and lost two out of three against the Braves.
This season, Philadelphia has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while they have scored 687 runs with a .241 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 45 home runs and 95 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 28 home runs and 84 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Andrew Painter, who is 3-9 with a 5.54 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 115.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight road games against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Mets have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Phillies have won seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games following a home win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Saturday games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Saturday games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against the Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last seven Saturday games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Christian Scott has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mets as favorites.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against the Phillies.
- Luis Torrens has hit a home run in five of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Painter has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Justin Crawford has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances.
- Edmundo Sosa has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Mets vs Phillies Prediction
New York comes into this matchup after snapping their losing streak with a win on Friday, but they have scored one run or fewer in three of their last five. The Mets are 35-44 at home this year, while the Phillies are 44-35 on the road. Philadelphia has won three of their last five games, but they have scored three runs in four straight. The Phillies are starting Painter, who has allowed 1, 5, 0, 3, and 1 earned run in his last five starts, while Scott has allowed 2, 2, 3, 4, and 3 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the Phillies to win here.