In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, August 9th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 58-61 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 30-29 home record and are coming off a 9-0 home win against the Mets. They will face the Marlins and the Red Sox next.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .257 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .413 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 74, adding a team-high 25 home runs.
Jared Jones (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 2-3 record, 4.02 ERA and 1.11 WHIP.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 51-67 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 26-33 away record and are coming off a 0-9 road loss against the Pirates. They will face the Braves and the Nationals next.
The New York Mets have a .234 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Carson Benge is the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 56, while Juan Soto adds a team-high 21 home runs.
Sean Manaea (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 3-5 record, 4.33 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.
New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: August 9, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones Record this season: 2-3 ERA: 4.02
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Mets: 0-0
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won eight of their last nine day games at PNC Park following a win.
- The Mets have lost 16 of their last 17 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against the Mets.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at PNC Park.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at PNC Park.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea Record this season: 3-5 ERA: 4.33
- Road Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Pirates: 0-1
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Mets have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Mets’ last eight games.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Mets’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Mets and Pirates at PNC Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Jared Jones’ last six appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Jared Jones has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances against NL East opponents.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Pirates as favorites.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 4th in the league in Hits (133) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Pirates.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1060).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1122).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (147).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.304).
Mets vs Pirates Prediction
The Pirates are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Mets and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.
In this Mets vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -140 home favorites. I like the Mets and the plus money in this one, as they have been in far better form with a 4-1 record in their last 5 games, while the Pirates are 3-7 in their last 10. Manaea has been in better form than Jones lately and the Pirates cannot hit lefties in their last 5 games, averaging just 1.3 runs per game against southpaws. Give me the Mets and the plus money in this one.